Does the Global Banking System Actually Need XRP?

 

Ripple wants to make international payments faster and more efficient. But does solving a multitrillion-dollar banking problem mean banks will need to own XRP?

Every day, banks move money across borders.

A business in South Korea pays a supplier in Mexico. A company in Germany transfers funds to its American subsidiary. A worker in Japan sends money to family overseas.

The process sounds simple.

But behind an international payment is a complicated network of banks, currencies, accounts, compliance checks and liquidity arrangements.

For years, Ripple has argued that blockchain technology can make this system more efficient.

And XRP, the digital asset associated with the XRP Ledger, has been positioned as a bridge between currencies.

For some investors, that leads to an extraordinary prediction: If XRP becomes essential to global banking, its value could rise dramatically.

But there is a question hidden inside that argument.

Does the global financial system need XRP to solve its problems?

Or can it solve those problems without XRP at all?

Why Banks Keep Money in Other Countries

Imagine a bank in South Korea that needs to make payments in U.S. dollars.

To support those payments, it may maintain a dollar-denominated account with another bank.

Such arrangements are part of correspondent banking.

A nostro account is, from one bank's perspective, an account holding its money at another bank. From the other bank's perspective, the same account is a vostro account.

These accounts help banks make payments in foreign currencies.

But they also create costs.

Banks need to manage balances across countries and currencies. Some funds may sit in accounts waiting for future payments rather than being used elsewhere.

They also need to coordinate with institutions operating in different time zones and under different regulations.

The result is a system that can be expensive and operationally complicated.

The Bank for International Settlements identifies fragmented liquidity, multiple intermediaries and sequential processing as important sources of friction in cross-border payments.

This is a real financial problem.

And solving it could create enormous economic value.

But identifying a large problem is not the same as proving that one particular asset will capture that value.

Ripple's Answer: Use XRP as a Bridge

Ripple's On-Demand Liquidity, or ODL, was designed to use XRP as an intermediary between currencies.

Consider a simplified payment from one country to another.

Instead of relying entirely on funds already positioned in the destination country, a payment provider could convert the sending currency into XRP, transfer the XRP and convert it into the receiving currency.

The goal is to reduce the need for certain pre-funded balances while making liquidity available when payments occur.

This is not merely a theoretical idea.

Ripple's ODL documentation describes XRP's role as a bridge currency.

Its use-case documentation covers remittances, business payments and corporate treasury transfers.

There is an important qualification, however.

Ripple's technical documentation also describes funding arrangements involving digital asset exchanges and XRP wallets.

In other words, the system does not eliminate every need for liquidity.

It changes where liquidity is held, how it is accessed and who provides it.

That distinction matters enormously for investors.

The Trillion-Dollar Assumption

One of the most popular arguments for a dramatically higher XRP price begins with money held in correspondent banking accounts.

The logic sounds straightforward.

Banks keep substantial amounts of money available for international payments.

If XRP can replace that system, perhaps the financial value currently tied up in those accounts will migrate into XRP.

But there is a problem with that reasoning.

Money that is no longer required for pre-funding does not automatically become money invested in XRP.

Imagine that a payment company previously needed to maintain $10 million in foreign-currency balances.

A new settlement system allows it to operate with only $2 million in readily available liquidity.

The company has freed up $8 million.

It might use that money to reduce borrowing, invest in its business, increase reserves or fund other operations.

It does not necessarily need to purchase $8 million worth of XRP.

In fact, the whole point of a more efficient payment system is often to use less capital.

That creates a fundamental tension in some of the most aggressive XRP valuation arguments.

A technology that reduces the amount of money required for settlement does not automatically require an equally large amount of money to be invested in its settlement asset.

How Much XRP Would Banks Actually Need?

Suppose, purely as an illustration, that a payment network processes $1 trillion in transfers each day.

Does that mean it must hold $1 trillion worth of XRP?

No.

If the same pool of liquidity can be reused repeatedly, the required inventory may be much smaller than the total value of payments.

Consider a hypothetical system in which $10 billion of liquidity can be deployed, settled and reused 100 times in a day.

That could theoretically support $1 trillion in daily transfers.

Real financial markets are more complicated.

Payments do not arrive evenly throughout the day. Currency pairs have different liquidity conditions. Exchanges have trading costs. Large transactions can move market prices. Institutions need reserves for operational and market risks.

So the hypothetical calculation is not a forecast of XRP's actual liquidity requirements.

It illustrates a principle.

Transaction volume and required asset holdings are not the same thing.

For XRP to develop substantial, persistent demand from international payments, investors would need evidence that banks, market makers and liquidity providers must maintain significant XRP inventories.

High payment volume alone would not establish that.

The Competition Is No Longer Standing Still

Ripple's original argument became attractive partly because international banking infrastructure was slow and fragmented.

But the competition has changed.

And some of the strongest competitors are not cryptocurrencies.

They are the banks and financial institutions already operating the global payment system.

In 2026, Swift announced progress on a blockchain-based shared ledger initiative involving major international banks and tokenized deposits.

The initiative aims to improve coordination, enable more continuous cross-border payment processing and reduce liquidity friction.

But an important distinction is necessary.

Swift's blockchain ledger is designed to coordinate and record tokenized transactions, not to replace every existing settlement system.

Final settlement may still rely on established banking infrastructure, including real-time gross settlement systems and correspondent banking arrangements.

That means Swift has not suddenly solved every problem in international payments.

Nor does a successful pilot guarantee global adoption.

But the initiative demonstrates that established banks have another route toward modernizing cross-border payments.

And that route does not require XRP to become a universal bridge asset.

Swift is not an unfamiliar startup asking banks to abandon their existing relationships.

It is an established financial messaging cooperative embedded in international banking.

That existing position matters.

Central Banks Have Their Own Answer

There is an even more important development.

The Bank for International Settlements' Project Agorá explores a shared financial infrastructure using tokenized commercial bank deposits and central bank reserves.

The project brings together central banks and private financial institutions to examine how tokenization could improve wholesale cross-border payments.

Its work has demonstrated the technical potential for coordinated, atomic settlement across financial institutions and currencies.

Atomic settlement means that linked parts of a transaction complete together, rather than leaving one side completed while the other remains unsettled.

That can reduce important forms of settlement risk.

The BIS Project Agorá initiative is significant because it preserves central bank money and commercial bank deposits as the foundation of the settlement structure.

It does not require an independent cryptocurrency to perform the central settlement function.

This does not mean Project Agorá has already replaced correspondent banking.

A prototype is not the same as a fully deployed global network.

Implementation, regulation, interoperability and commercial incentives remain major challenges.

But the project shows something important.

The financial system can explore blockchain-based efficiency without adopting XRP.

And it can do so while preserving much of the legal and monetary structure banks already trust.

Stablecoins Create Another Challenge

Now consider dollar-backed stablecoins.

A stablecoin such as USDC or Ripple's own RLUSD is designed to maintain a value linked to the U.S. dollar.

That creates a different proposition from XRP.

If a company owes a supplier $100,000, it generally wants the supplier to receive the equivalent of $100,000.

A dollar-backed stablecoin can offer a familiar unit of account while using blockchain-based infrastructure.

XRP, by contrast, has a floating market price.

That does not prevent XRP from being used as a temporary bridge.

But it means the payment system must manage conversion prices, market liquidity and execution risk.

In markets with deep, efficient stablecoin and foreign-exchange liquidity, the economic advantage of inserting XRP into the transaction may be limited.

In other markets, where direct currency liquidity is expensive or difficult to access, an XRP bridge could still be useful.

The answer depends on the specific payment corridor.

It cannot be assumed for the entire global banking system.

Ripple Could Succeed Without Making XRP Essential

Here is one of the most overlooked parts of the investment story.

Ripple is expanding beyond a single cross-border payment product.

It has pursued businesses involving institutional brokerage, digital asset custody, stablecoins and corporate treasury infrastructure.

That strategy could make Ripple a more diversified financial technology company.

But a successful financial technology company and a successful investment token are not necessarily the same thing.

Ripple can earn revenue from services that do not require customers to maintain large XRP holdings.

Ripple's payment documentation describes funding methods that can involve different assets and liquidity arrangements.

That does not make XRP irrelevant to Ripple.

It does mean investors should distinguish the company's commercial success from the economic demand for the token.

Owning XRP does not give an investor shares in Ripple.

It does not create a contractual claim on Ripple's earnings.

And it does not guarantee participation in the profits of Ripple's acquisitions.

Ripple's business can grow without XRP capturing an equivalent share of that growth.

Then Why Are Major Investors Backing Evernorth?

If XRP's future is uncertain, why are sophisticated investors putting capital behind it?

Evernorth provides an interesting case.

The company was created around a publicly traded XRP treasury strategy.

Its disclosed investors have included Ripple, SBI Group, Pantera Capital, Arrington Capital, Kraken and GSR.

In an October 2025 SEC filing, Evernorth announced a transaction expected to raise more than $1 billion in gross proceeds, including a planned $200 million investment from SBI.

In a subsequent 2026 SEC filing, Evernorth described a strategy extending beyond simply buying and holding XRP.

It intended to manage its treasury actively and participate in the development of institutional on-chain finance.

That is an important distinction.

A professional investor may see several potential sources of return:

  • Appreciation in the market value of XRP.

  • Financial products and services built around XRP liquidity.

  • Treasury management and capital-market strategies.

  • Growth in institutional demand for XRP-related investment exposure.

None of these requires every major bank to adopt XRP as a mandatory reserve asset.

An investor can believe XRP is undervalued without believing that it will replace the international banking system.

The presence of prominent investors therefore demonstrates financial commitment.

It does not prove the most ambitious predictions about XRP's eventual role.

What Would Prove the XRP Investment Thesis?

There is a way to evaluate the argument without relying on dramatic price targets.

Start with actual usage.

How much international payment value is being transferred through transactions that genuinely use XRP as a bridge?

How quickly is that amount growing?

How many payment corridors can demonstrate lower total costs than competing systems?

Then examine liquidity.

How much XRP do financial institutions and market makers need to hold continuously to support those payments?

Does that inventory increase as transaction volume grows?

Or can the same XRP be recycled efficiently enough that transaction growth creates only modest additional holding requirements?

Finally, examine competition.

Are banks choosing XRP because it offers a measurable economic advantage?

Or are they choosing tokenized deposits, stablecoins and modernized banking networks instead?

These questions are more useful than counting partnership announcements alone.

A bank using Ripple software is not necessarily a bank using XRP.

A financial institution experimenting with the XRP Ledger is not necessarily a financial institution holding large XRP reserves.

And a successful blockchain payment does not necessarily create lasting demand for the blockchain's native asset.

Could XRP Still Become Valuable?

Yes.

An asset does not need to become the universal settlement standard to attract substantial investment demand.

XRP could benefit from greater market liquidity, wider access through regulated investment products, more activity on the XRP Ledger and successful use in particular payment corridors.

Its price may also respond to speculation, macroeconomic conditions and broader cryptocurrency market cycles.

But those are different investment arguments.

One says XRP may become more widely used and owned.

Another says the global banking system will eventually have no choice but to hold it.

The second is much harder to establish.

For XRP to become a near-universal bridge asset, it would need to overcome not only technical and commercial challenges, but also the preferences of banks and central banks for regulated, predictable settlement assets.

That is a much higher barrier than demonstrating that a payment can be completed quickly.

The Real Question Is Who Captures the Savings

Ripple identified a genuine problem.

International payments can be expensive, fragmented and inefficient.

And better technology can reduce those costs.

But the financial value created by an innovation can flow to many different places.

Banks may free up working capital.

Businesses may pay lower fees.

Payment companies may earn new service revenue.

Market makers may benefit from additional trading activity.

Software providers may sell new infrastructure.

Only some of that value, if any, must flow into the market price of XRP.

That is the distinction investors cannot afford to ignore.

A trillion-dollar problem does not automatically create a trillion-dollar cryptocurrency.

The global banking system may become faster, more programmable and more efficient over the next decade.

Ripple may play a meaningful role in that transformation.

XRP may find valuable uses within it.

But none of those outcomes proves that banks will need to hold XRP on a massive scale.

The future of international finance may indeed be built on blockchain technology.

The question is whether that future needs XRP — or simply needs better infrastructure.

BEYOND THE OBVIOUS.


Sources

  1. Bank for International Settlements — Project Agorá

  2. Swift — Official News and Blockchain Initiatives

  3. Ripple — ODL Onboarding Documentation

  4. Ripple — ODL Account Funding

  5. Ripple — ODL Use Cases

  6. Ripple — Payment Funding Methods

  7. SEC — Evernorth's Original Transaction Announcement

  8. SEC — Evernorth's 2026 Strategy Disclosure

This article is an analysis of financial infrastructure and investment assumptions, not a recommendation to buy or sell any digital asset.